China's Zero-Tariff Policy Opens New Export Opportunities for Zambia

China's decision to grant zero-tariff treatment on imports from 53 African countries, including Zambia, from May 1, 2026, is being welcomed as a sign of growing confidence in the country's economic trajectory under the UPND administration.

The move is expected to lower entry costs for qualifying exports and widen market access for local producers — aligning with Lusaka's push to diversify beyond raw mineral exports. The government has prioritised value addition, industrialisation and stronger participation by small and medium enterprises, framing the zero-tariff framework as a practical opening rather than a symbolic gesture.

Producers in agriculture and light manufacturing are already exploring how the policy could reshape export planning. Honey, soy products and tobacco have been identified as potential growth areas, provided exporters meet Chinese certification and quality standards. Trade groups acknowledge that tariff relief alone will not guarantee success but say reduced duties could improve competitiveness in one of the world's largest consumer markets.

The administration's broader economic programme — including the planned rehabilitation of the TAZARA railway and expansion of special economic zones — reinforces its ambition for Zambia to evolve into a regional production base. Investment promoters suggest duty-free access to China could attract foreign firms to establish local processing facilities, supporting employment and strengthening domestic value chains.

Economists caution that consistent production, stable energy supply and access to affordable finance remain essential. Business leaders describe the moment as one requiring close coordination between government, producers and investors to translate policy into sustained growth and measurable outcomes for Zambian exporters.